Virtus Lanciano vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
17%
27%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
VIR
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 3
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
ASC
63%
24%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 1
POR
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |