Virtus Lanciano vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
VIS
0 - 1
VIR
30%
29%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
29%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
TER
2 - 0
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIR
3 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
REG
3 - 2
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
RIM
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIS
2 - 0
REG
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |