Virtus Lanciano vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TER
2 - 2
VIR
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIV
18%
26%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
CES
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CES
60%
25%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |