Sambenedettese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
EMP
1 - 0
SSS
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
INT
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
AVE
0 - 0
SSS
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
TAR
1 - 1
PRG
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
PRG
0 - 0
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
11%
22%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |