Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28.2%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
16.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
4 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
45%
32%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
36%
33%
31%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
SSS
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
40%
32%
29%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
31%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PAR
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
51%
30%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAR
69%
22%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |