Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
31%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
21.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
SSS
2 - 2
SPA
43%
32%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TOR
1 - 0
SSS
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
COM
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
24%
27%
50%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
NOV
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |