Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
25.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 0
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAL
40%
32%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 0
SSS
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
4 - 2
SSS
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOV
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |