Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 1
SSS
42%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
0 - 2
SSS
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 1
ASG
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 0
FER
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 0
RAV
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |