Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
19.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
31%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
52%
29%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 0
SSS
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
47%
29%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |