Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 0
SSS
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 0
ACM
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
TAR
2 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 2
VNZ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |