Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SSS
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
ACM
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |