Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
4 - 0
ASS
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 1
SSS
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 2
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CAG
1 - 1
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
USA
4 - 1
SSS
70%
17%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ASS
4 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |