Sambenedettese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1962 |
BRE
4 - 0
SSS
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 0
ACP
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
SSS
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
REG
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ASL
3 - 0
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |