Sambenedettese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAM
47%
31%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
SSS
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
ATL
1 - 1
LEC
55%
29%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |