Sambenedettese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSS
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
5 - 0
FER
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
4 - 0
SSS
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 2
VIT
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
BEN
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
LAQ
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FCC
33%
31%
37%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
USF
2 - 1
LAQ
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |