Sambenedettese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
28%
33%
39%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PAL
3 - 1
SSS
60%
26%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 1
ARZ
52%
29%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 2
GEN
61%
26%
13%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
USA
1 - 0
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 1
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
USF
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |