Sambenedettese vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
RAV
2 - 3
FOR
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FOR
3 - 2
RIM
33%
23%
45%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +4 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
FOR
4 - 1
MOL
75%
14%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 0
RAV
28%
22%
49%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +6 |