Sambenedettese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
28.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
ATL
37%
32%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VAR
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 2
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
63%
25%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
ACM
12%
21%
68%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |