Sambenedettese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 2
PIS
35%
34%
31%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
53%
31%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAM
44%
32%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CES
2 - 0
SSS
61%
26%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
38%
34%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
PIS
41%
31%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
62%
25%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |