Sambenedettese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
20.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
SSS
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
PES
0 - 1
SSS
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAT
76%
18%
7%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
4 - 1
MOD
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
61%
27%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
42%
32%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |