Sambenedettese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 4
SSS
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 0
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VER
1 - 0
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PAD
0 - 0
VNZ
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 1
ITA
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PAD
3 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VER
0 - 1
PAD
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PAD
3 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |