Sambenedettese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
29.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
ATL
54%
30%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
58%
27%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
29%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
SSS
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
49%
30%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COM
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 0
BOL
42%
31%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 3
ACM
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |