Sambenedettese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
PAL
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
SSS
2 - 2
USF
45%
31%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSS
61%
26%
13%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1981 |
REG
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
REG
1 - 0
RIM
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 1
REG
66%
23%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
USF
2 - 1
REG
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
REG
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
30%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |