SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
5 - 1
SSM
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RPO
1 - 1
SSM
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 2
TAR
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SSM
0 - 0
TAR
17%
22%
60%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SSE
2 - 2
SSM
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
BIS
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FON
3 - 0
SER
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 4
FRA
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |