SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 0
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 4
SSE
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SSM
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
5 - 2
ACI
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PIC
1 - 2
SSM
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 1
FRA
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
POM
3 - 2
NAR
34%
28%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
NAR
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 0
RPO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |