SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
18º
14º
28
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
SSM
16%
20%
65%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 1
FIA
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
1 - 3
NAR
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCF
2 - 0
SSM
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 3
NOC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FBC
5 - 0
UGE
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
FBC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FBC
2 - 0
ACC
51%
24%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NOC
2 - 1
FBC
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FBC
0 - 1
FRA
39%
29%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |