SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 1
SSM
56%
26%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
4 - 0
TUR
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
SSM
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
TOR
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
0 - 1
SSM
40%
28%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
APR
2 - 3
BIS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
POM
2 - 0
APR
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
APR
4 - 3
FON
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
APR
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |