Juve Stabia vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
14º
11º
27
8º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 85 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 77 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 49 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
19º
|
21 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 42 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 41 |
18º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 40 |
19º
|
14.5% | |
|
20º
|
18 | 38 |
20º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
JUS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
JUS
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
JUS
1 - 1
FRO
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
REG
2 - 1
JUS
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
JUS
1 - 0
CES
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 4
SPE
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
CES
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
NUO
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |