Cittadella Vis Modena vs Zenith Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1453%
+1046%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
10º
23
11º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
CIT
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CIT
6 - 0
RIC
15%
18%
68%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +8 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IMO
2 - 2
CIT
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIT
0 - 2
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PIA
4 - 1
CIT
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SAM
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 0
ZEN
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 3
ZEN
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZEN
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 3
ZEN
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |