Cittadella Vis Modena vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1453%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
10º
51
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 34% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 66% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 0
ASD
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 4
CIT
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CIT
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CIT
3 - 4
SAN
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 1
CIT
82%
12%
7%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
FOR
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |