Cavese 1919 vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 1
USF
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 2
ARZ
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PES
1 - 2
CAV
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POT
2 - 0
VIR
39%
28%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
BEN
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 1
VIR
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |