Cavese 1919 vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
CAV
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
1 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 3
CAV
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
TAR
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
SSM
62%
23%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PIC
4 - 1
SSM
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
0 - 3
FBC
32%
22%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |