Cavese 1919 vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
CAV
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 1
DTO
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REG
0 - 2
CAV
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAA
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 0
SAR
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |