Cavese 1919 vs Palmese analysis


40	ELO	27
19.4%	Tilt	4.1%
3449º	General ELO ranking	5378º
85º	Country ELO ranking	151º
ELO win probability

79.4%

Cavese 1919

12.4%

Draw

8.3%

Palmese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

79.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%

12.4%

Draw

0-0

1.9%

1-1

5.3%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

12.4%

8.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+9%

+296%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cavese 1919

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2015	SCO 0 - 1 CAV 17% 19% 64%	39	23	16	0
06 Sep. 2015	CAV 0 - 1 GRA 84% 10% 6%	40	25	15	-1
09 May. 2015	CAV 4 - 1 GRO 86% 10% 4%	41	21	20	-1
03 May. 2015	POT 1 - 1 CAV 37% 26% 38%	41	38	3	0
26 Apr. 2015	CAV 2 - 3 FIA 31% 24% 45%	41	52	11	0