Cavese 1919 vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
NAP
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAV
79%
13%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 2
CAV
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAR
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
CAV
2 - 2
LAZ
39%
31%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
NUO
1 - 0
BOL
42%
23%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
NUO
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
NUO
1 - 2
UDI
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
NUO
0 - 2
NAP
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |