Cavese 1919 vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REG
0 - 2
CAV
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
AGR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAV
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 2
SCO
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOT
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
NOT
52%
26%
23%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
DTO
36%
29%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |