Cavese 1919 vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
CAV
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
3 - 0
VIG
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAV
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
ROC
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
CAV
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEO
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |