Cavese 1919 vs Leonfortese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
CAV
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
3 - 1
DTO
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
CAV
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROC
46%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
RAA
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GEL
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |