Cavese 1919 vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
CAT
4 - 1
CAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 1
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
USC
1 - 0
CAV
57%
22%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
CAV
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAL
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
LEC
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
43%
32%
26%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |