Cavese 1919 vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
16º
14º
6
10º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 79 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 68 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 64 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 61 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 61 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 54 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 53 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 51 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 51 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 51 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 49 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 46 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 41 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 40 |
16º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
20º
|
2 | 37 |
18º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
19º
|
14% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 35 |
20º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
25% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 1
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
AVE
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSC
0 - 0
CAV
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
CRO
22%
25%
54%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAV
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
LAT
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 0
USF
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 0
LAT
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 1
LAT
44%
30%
26%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
CAS
31%
28%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |