Cavese 1919 vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UCG
1 - 1
CAV
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
ACS
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAV
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
SAS
20%
27%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
CTT
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 0
FCC
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
RIM
1 - 3
BOL
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
USC
2 - 2
BOL
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |