Cavese 1919 vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
19%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
17%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
USC
1 - 0
CAV
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
PIS
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PES
3 - 1
CAV
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 1
COM
44%
32%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAV
52%
28%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAG
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 1
ATL
48%
32%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAM
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 2
ATL
58%
27%
15%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRI
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |