Cavese 1919 vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAV
3 - 4
PES
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAV
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAV
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
FSD
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 1
VAR
35%
30%
36%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
VAL
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |