Cassino vs Romana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+214%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
13º
5º
61
2º
17º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ULD
0 - 1
SSC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ANZ
1 - 0
SSC
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SSC
2 - 3
CYN
18%
25%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
SSC
10%
16%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSC
1 - 0
CAV
7%
17%
76%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Romana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 0
CYN
9%
15%
76%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 0
RFC
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 0
ANZ
9%
14%
78%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 0
RFC
55%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
2 - 2
BUD
9%
16%
75%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | +1 |