Cassino vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
14º
7º
50
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31.5% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 3
SSC
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
0 - 0
ACC
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 1
SSC
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SSC
3 - 1
CAS
18%
22%
61%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SSC
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 2
HYR
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 1
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 1
PAL
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |