Barletta vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 2
SSB
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
USC
2 - 2
SSB
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
3 - 2
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PRG
0 - 2
LEV
9%
20%
72%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
PRG
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACI
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIG
2 - 0
PRG
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 3
PRG
21%
28%
51%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |