Barletta vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
USC
1 - 1
SSB
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SSB
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
30%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSB
62%
24%
15%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSB
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSB
0 - 0
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
ARZ
49%
30%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
PAD
2 - 2
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
39%
31%
30%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
2 - 2
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |