Barletta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ASC
2 - 1
SSB
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSB
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
LEC
2 - 1
SSB
72%
14%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 0
SSS
84%
12%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |