Barletta vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
SSB
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 1
GRO
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
SSB
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 3
FCC
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
SSB
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MES
1 - 2
BV5
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BV5
2 - 0
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |