Barletta vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SSB
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 0
SSB
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCS
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
REG
0 - 0
SSB
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 3
NUO
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
REG
26%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 1
LRO
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAT
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |